The cleanest buys are the names defending profitability through pricing power and product mix. The weaker setup is the semiconductor company making a large all-stock acquisition that the market is already questioning.

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Digital currency is not legal tender, is not backed by the government, and BIA accounts are not subject to FDIC or SIPC protections.

Crypto loans are offered to U.S. borrowers by Figure Lending LLC. This product is not available to U.S. residents of DC, ID, IL, KY, MD, MS, SD, TX, VT, or VA.

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Figure Markets Credit LLC. 650 S. Tryon Street, 8th Floor, Charlotte, NC 28202. (888) 926-6259. NMLS ID 2559612. For licensing information, go to www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org

Figure Payments Corporation offers self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. Figure Payments Corporation's NMLS ID number is 2033432, and is located at 100 West Liberty Street, Suite 600, Reno, NV., 89501. You can verify Figure Payments licensing status at the NMLS Consumer Access website. Click here for Figure Crypto's state license and regulatory disclosures.

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Futures at a Glance📈

Futures are mixed as the tech sell-off keeps rolling into Friday. Nasdaq names are under pressure again, with Apple, SoftBank, and chip-linked stocks weighing on global markets. Traders are rotating toward steadier areas like healthcare, financials, and industrials while they wait on inventory data and the final Michigan sentiment read.

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What to Watch

Earnings (Premarket):
• Apogee Enterprises, Inc. [APOG]

Earnings (Time Not Supplied):
• Biodexa Pharmaceuticals plc [BDRX]
• Sibanye Stillwater Limited [SBSW]
• Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. [ZGN]
• High Templar Tech Limited [HTT]

Economic Reports:
• Advance Economic Indicators Report (May): 8:30 am
• Wholesale Inventories (May): 8:30 am
• Retail Inventories (May): 8:30 am
• U. Michigan Final Consumer Survey (Jun.): 10:00 am

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Mega-Cap Tech

Microsoft Corp Can Absorb the Xbox Price Shock

Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) is raising Xbox console prices again as memory and storage costs surge across consumer electronics. Starting Aug. 1, the 512GB Xbox Series S will increase by $100 to about $500, while the 1TB version will rise by $150.

The entry-level Xbox Series X will now start around $750. Microsoft said console storage and memory prices have already increased by more than 2.5x and expects another doubling by fall 2027.

That is a real pressure point. AI chip demand is pulling memory supply toward higher-margin data center uses, leaving consumer hardware makers with higher input costs.

But this is not a thesis-breaking issue for Microsoft. Xbox is important to the gaming ecosystem, but the company’s bigger profit engines are cloud, software, AI infrastructure, enterprise subscriptions, and LinkedIn.

The key point is pricing power. Consoles are often sold near cost or below cost, so Microsoft is passing through inflation rather than eating the full hit. That protects margins, even if it slows some hardware demand.

The stock is down sharply over the past year and trades around 21x earnings. For a company with Microsoft’s cloud and enterprise base, that valuation looks reasonable.

My Take For You: Microsoft’s Xbox price hike shows component inflation is spreading, but the company has enough profit diversity to absorb it.

My Verdict: Buy this. The risk is that rising memory costs pressure consumer hardware demand and feed broader concerns about AI-driven input inflation.

Autos

General Motors Co Is Protecting Its Most Important Profit Engine

General Motors Co (NYSE: GM) just unveiled its 2027 GMC Sierra 1500 lineup with new V-8 engines, redesigned styling, and a more focused trim structure.

That matters because full-size trucks are central to GM’s earnings power. The high-end Denali and off-road AT4 models represent roughly half of the Sierra’s current sales and carry stronger pricing and profit potential.

GM is narrowing the lineup to Pro, Elevation, AT4, AT4X, Denali, and Denali Ultimate. It is removing the mid-level SLE and SLT trims, which currently start around $51,500 and $57,900.

That is a clear mix strategy. GM is leaning into the trims that support higher margins instead of trying to be everything to every buyer.

The redesign also adds more than 60 inches of available screens, new cabin storage, a sliding center console, and updated V-8 options. That keeps Sierra competitive in a category where technology and comfort now matter almost as much as towing and power.

The broader sales backdrop is weaker. GM’s U.S. sales through the first half are forecast to fall roughly 7%, and first-quarter sales were down 9.7% year over year.

Still, the stock trades around 32x earnings with a market cap near $71 billion. If the new Sierra supports pricing and mix, GM has a clearer path to defend margins in a softer auto market.

My Take For You: GM’s Sierra refresh is not just a product update. It is a margin defense move around one of the company’s most important profit pools.

My Verdict: Buy this. The risk is that weaker auto demand offsets the benefits from higher-end truck mix and refreshed styling.

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Semiconductors

ON Semiconductor Corp Is Making a Big AI Bet at a Tough Price

ON Semiconductor Corp (NASDAQ: ON) is buying Synaptics in a nearly $7 billion all-stock deal, its largest acquisition ever. The goal is to accelerate ON Semi’s push into physical AI and expand its connected compute capabilities.

The strategy makes sense on paper. ON Semi already has strength in power, sensing, automotive, and electric vehicle chips. Synaptics adds compute, connectivity, software, and ecosystem reach.

Management said the deal can lift ON Semi’s total addressable market by $30 billion to $243 billion by 2030. That gives investors a bigger long-term growth story.

The issue is execution. This is a large all-stock deal, and the market did not love it. ON Semi shares fell sharply after the announcement, while Synaptics rallied.

That reaction makes sense. Investors are being asked to accept dilution, integration risk, and a deal that will not close until the middle of 2027.

Valuation also matters. ON Semi is already up more than 120% over the past year and trades around 85x earnings. That leaves little room for a messy integration.

Physical AI is a strong theme, but this deal asks investors to pay for a future that still has to be built.

My Take For You: ON Semi’s Synaptics deal expands the AI story, but the size, dilution, and long closing timeline make the setup riskier.

My Verdict: Sell this. The risk is that investors keep discounting the stock until ON Semi proves the acquisition can add growth without hurting margins or execution.

Trivia: One of the greatest IPOs of the 21st century came from a payment processing giant that raised a then-record amount and went public in the middle of the 2008 financial crisis. Which company pulled off a record IPO in 2008?

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Movers and Shakers

AEVEX [AVEX]: Premarket Move: +14%

AEVEX is jumping after announcing it will join the Russell 2000 Index following the 2026 annual reconstitution, effective June 29. The autonomous-systems and defense-tech company will also be added to related Russell growth, value, size, and sector indexes.

This is a flow catalyst more than a fundamental reset. Russell 2000 inclusion increases visibility with institutional investors, index funds, and managers benchmarked to small-cap indexes. For a stock sitting near its 52-week low of $15.07 and down more than 40% over the past year, that fresh demand matters.

My Take: Buy the index-inclusion momentum, but keep the trade tight. The Russell catalyst creates real buying flow, but AVEX still needs stronger business updates before this becomes more than a rebound trade.

Wise Group [WSE]: Premarket Move: +7%

Wise is moving higher after delivering stronger-than-expected fiscal 2026 margins and launching a $500 million buyback for fiscal 2027. The payments company reported $2.50 billion in net revenue, up 19% year over year, and income before tax of $660.4 million.

The standout number is profitability. Wise’s profit before tax margin came in at 26.4%, above its own medium-term guidance range of 20% to 25%. Active customers rose 21% to 19 million, while cross-border volume climbed 31% to $243.5 billion.

My Take: Buy the earnings breakout. Wise is showing growth, margin control, and capital returns at the same time, though the stock needs fiscal 2027 guidance to hold near the top of the target range for this move to keep working.

SanDisk [SNDK]: Premarket Move: −6%

SanDisk is pulling back with the broader tech selloff after a massive rally tied to Micron’s strong earnings and AI memory demand. The stock jumped more than 20% on Thursday, but traders are now taking profits after an enormous run.

The long-term AI memory story still has backing. Citi raised its price target on SNDK to $2,500 from $2,025, calling SanDisk a top beneficiary of tight NAND conditions and rising data-center demand. Still, the stock is up more than 4,800% over the past year and trades above 80x earnings, so every rally invites selling.

My Take: Do not panic-sell the pullback, but do not chase it either. SanDisk remains one of the cleanest AI memory winners, but after this kind of run, the smarter entry comes on weakness, not euphoria.

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Everything Else

  • 🔍 A new layer of market leadership is starting to form, as investors scout for stocks with the scale, cash flow, and momentum to drive the next cycle.

  • 📉 Global tech stocks sold off as investors grew more worried about the rising cost of AI infrastructure.

  • 🕊️ A potential U.S.-Iran peace deal is running into a key sticking point over nuclear access and inspection rights.

  • 💳 Airwallex raised fresh funding at an $11 billion valuation as investors keep backing the AI finance trade.

  • 🧠 Samsung is reportedly planning a massive 1,000 trillion won investment in South Korea, adding more firepower to the chip race.

  • 💾 Kioxia shares slumped as AI-linked names came under pressure and investors questioned the memory rally.

That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email.

Best Regards,

— Adam Garcia
Elite Trade Club

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