One headline just spooked a blue-chip cash cow, one earnings print came with the kind of guidance traders chase, and one gaming name basically waved a bigger payout in your face. The setups are not equal, and the best move today is mostly about timing.
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Futures at a Glance 📈
Futures are basically flat after Monday’s tech-led slide, with traders still jumpy about AI disruption headlines and Trump’s tariff threats. All eyes are on an Anthropic product event today, plus consumer confidence and Home Depot earnings, as the market waits for something solid to break the current trading funk.
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What to Watch
Earnings (Premarket):
• Home Depot, Inc. [HD]
• Bank of Nova Scotia [BNS]
• American Tower Corporation [AMT]
• Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. [KDP]
Earnings (Aftermarket):
• MercadoLibre, Inc. [MELI]
• EOG Resources, Inc. [EOG]
• Realty Income Corporation [O]
• Alcon Inc. [ALC]
• NRG Energy, Inc. [NRG]
• Constellation Energy Corporation [CEG]
Economic Reports:
• Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee speaks: 8:00 am
• S&P Case Shiller home price index (20 cities) (Dec): 9:00 am
• Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks: 9:00 am
• Fed Governor Christopher Waller speaks: 9:15 am
• Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaks: 9:30 am
• Wholesale inventories (Dec): 10:00 am
• Consumer confidence (Feb): 10:00 am
Technology
International Business Machines Gets Spooked By A New Robot With A Toolbox
International Business Machines Corp. [IBM] got smacked after Anthropic hinted its Claude Code tool can help modernize the old COBOL systems IBM has made a living untangling. The market heard that and immediately pictured a handyman showing up to IBM’s job site with a faster drill and lower hourly rate.
To be fair, most companies still do not want their core payments and transaction plumbing touched by anything that feels experimental. But in this tape, nuance is not invited. If a headline even whispers replaceable, traders hit sell and ask questions later.
The bigger issue is perception. IBM is not being judged on what it has built; it is being judged on whether AI can make its moat feel more like a shallow puddle. That does not mean the business disappears overnight, but it does mean the stock can get jumpy anytime a new AI feature drops.
My Take For You: Let it calm down before you do anything. If you own it, keep the position modest and trim on bounces.
My Verdict: Watch-list. Solid company, but the narrative is slippery right now.
Industrials
Keysight Just Dropped A Report Card That Makes The Stock Smirk
Keysight Technologies Inc. [KEYS] popped after it posted a quarter that beat expectations and followed it up with guidance that made analysts do a double-take. This is the market’s favorite combo: good results now, and management acting like the next quarter is not a horror movie.
The simple story is that Keysight sells the tools that help other tech and industrial companies test and measure what they are building. When spending is healthy, Keysight tends to feel it early, which is why traders treat a strong print like a little economic thumbs up.
The only buzzkill is that big gap-ups can turn into profit-taking magnets by lunchtime. A lot of people will look at a jump and think free money, then discover the stock still has gravity.
My Take For You: Do not chase the first spike. If it holds gains after the open, a small starter can make sense.
My Verdict: Constructive. Buyable on strength, better on a midday dip.
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Consumer Discretionary
Super Group (SGHC) Limited Wins The Quarter, Tips The Dealer, And Raises The Dividend
Super Group (SGHC) Limited [SGHC], the parent of Betway and Spin, put up a strong year and basically walked into the room carrying receipts. Revenue climbed, profits held up, and the company ended with a big cash pile, which is the corporate version of showing up to dinner and insisting you have got the bill.
Management also reminded everyone it exited U.S. iGaming and refocused on markets where it thinks it has an edge. Translation: less ego, more math. They even bumped the minimum quarterly dividend target, which is a nice way to tell shareholders you do not have to wait for a miracle to get paid.
Still, this is gambling and gaming. One ugly sports stretch can mess with results, and the stock can swing when sentiment shifts. It is fun, but it is not sleepy.
My Take For You: If you are new, let the pop cool off and buy on a pullback. If you own it, consider trimming a little and keeping a core.
My Verdict: Bullish but bouncy. Better as a position you manage, not one you ignore.
Which would you least want to explain to a 10-year-old?
Movers and Shakers
Amazon.com Inc. [AMZN]: Premarket Move: +0.2%
Amazon.com Inc. says it wants to pour $12 billion into Louisiana data centers, which is great for the cloud story and even better for anyone selling shovels and hard hats.
The catch is investors have been twitchy about big capex, because spending shows up now and payoff shows up later.
My Take: Treat this as a slow-burn, not a sprint. Buy on dips, not on headlines, and keep it small until the market stops obsessing over the bill.
BWX Technologies Inc. [BWXT]: Premarket Move: +9%
BWX Technologies Inc. popped after talking up a record year, a growing backlog, and a confident 2026 outlook.
Nuclear is back in fashion, and BWXT is walking the runway like it knows it.
My Take: Do not chase the gap at the open. If it holds gains, start small, and if it fades, wait for a cleaner pullback.
Hims & Hers Health Inc. [HIMS]: Premarket Move: -7%
Hims & Hers Health beat EPS and grew revenue, but the stock is still sliding because the market wants more than one good quarter after a brutal year.
When a name is near its lows, good news can still get treated like a practice rep.
My Take: Let it settle and watch for a base. If it stabilizes, nibble small, and if it keeps bleeding, step aside.
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Everything Else
Panama just voided contracts tied to CK Hutchison as the canal-port fight gets louder, with Maersk and MSC stepping in on an interim basis.
Jamie Dimon basically waved a giant caution flag to watch out as high asset prices pile onto the economy’s growing risk list.
Stellantis is betting the new Jeep Cherokee can help pull off a U.S. sales turnaround, which is corporate speak for please let this one hit.
China’s DeepSeek says it trained an AI model using Nvidia’s best chips despite the U.S. ban, adding fuel to the chip control headache.
Cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike and Datadog got clipped after Anthropic launched a new AI tool that spooked the group, sparking a quick sector slide.
That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email.
Best Regards,
— Adam Garcia
Elite Trade Club
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