The Dow Hits Correction, Oil Tops $110, and March Goes Out With a Bang

March is going out exactly how it came in: with oil climbing, stocks falling, and no diplomatic solution anywhere on the calendar.

Trump extended the Iran strike deadline to April 6, gave the market a Truth Social post that oil traders largely ignored, and the Dow closed the day in correction territory alongside the Nasdaq.

Everything that moved today, including the names that bucked the selloff, is laid out right below.

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Friday was the final session of a month that will not be remembered fondly, with the Dow falling into correction territory alongside the Nasdaq as oil climbed back above $110 despite Trump extending the Iran strike deadline to April 6. The S&P 500 is down for March, on pace for its worst monthly performance since 2022, and the rate hike probability crossed 50% for the first time this cycle as energy-driven inflation fears continued to build.

Consumer sentiment dropped to its lowest reading of the year, the VIX climbed toward 30, and traders are now positioned more defensively than at any point since the war began. The one mildly interesting subplot: the Truth Social effect on oil markets appears to be fading, with traders largely shrugging off Trump's latest post, which is either a sign of market maturity or a sign that nobody believes the deadline will be enforced.

Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX) just raised subscription prices across all plans in the United States. This is the second increase in roughly a year.

With more than 325 million subscribers worldwide, Netflix is betting that the content keeps people paying regardless of what the monthly bill says.

So far, that bet has been right every single time.

Confidence Looks Like This

Most companies agonize over price increases because customers leave. Netflix raises prices like clockwork and keeps growing.

That tells a very specific story about how deeply embedded this service has become in daily life. It is no longer a luxury purchase. It is a utility.

You cancel a streaming service when it stops feeling essential. Netflix clearly does not think it has reached that point, and the subscriber numbers back that up.

The Product Keeps Expanding

Netflix is not just raising prices on the same library. It is pushing into video podcasts and live sporting events, adding entirely new categories of content that justify the higher cost.

Live sports alone change how often people open the app and how long they stay.

Raising prices while investing record amounts in programming is a company playing offense from a position of strength.

You either pay the higher price or lose access to the world's most dominant content platform. Netflix knows most people will choose to stay.

Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE: ADM) is showing how a traditional agriculture business can stay relevant in a changing global economy.

Strong demand across food, feed, and energy inputs is reinforcing ADM’s role as a core link in the movement of raw crops through the system.

This is not about one good year. When you look at global supply chains, ADM sits at the center of flows the world cannot easily replace.

More Than Just Moving Crops

ADM has been shifting beyond basic commodity trading into higher-value areas like nutrition, processing, and sustainability-driven products.

That evolution makes the business less dependent on price swings and more tied to long-term demand trends.

You are seeing a company that is slowly upgrading its identity. It is no longer just handling volume; it is building a more stable and diversified platform around it.

Positioned for the Long Game

As food demand rises, supply chains tighten, and sustainability becomes more important, ADM is well-positioned to benefit without reinventing itself.

The company is not chasing trends. It is quietly strengthening its position in markets that continue to grow, making it more important over time rather than less.

When markets turn sharply, most portfolios are left to absorb the impact.

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Tenable Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: TENB) is facing a sharp reality check as new AI models begin to reshape how cyber threats are created and executed.

The emergence of more advanced AI tools is raising concerns that attacks could become faster, cheaper, and harder to detect.

When you look at it closely, Tenable is dealing with a shift like the problem it is trying to solve.

The Game Is Getting Smarter

Cybersecurity has always been about staying one step ahead, but AI is compressing that gap. Tools that once required skilled attackers can now be automated, increasing the scale and speed of threats.

That puts pressure on companies like Tenable to evolve quickly.

If you think about it, defending systems is no longer enough; the company now has to anticipate machines attacking machines.

Execution Becomes Everything

Tenable’s core strength has been helping organizations identify and manage vulnerabilities before they are exploited.

That model still matters, but it now needs to adapt to a world where threats evolve in real time.

Tenable is being pushed into a more competitive, faster-moving environment where innovation is no longer optional.

If it adapts well, this becomes an opportunity to strengthen its position. If not, it risks falling behind in a market rapidly redefined by artificial intelligence.

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Artelo Biosciences [ARTL] $10.54 (+230.41%)

ARTL is a tiny biotech with a $2.26 million market cap that went up 254% today on volume running at 10x average with absolutely no major news catalyst attached to it. This is pure retail momentum in one of the thinnest names on the market — the kind of move that looks spectacular on a screen and evaporates just as fast. It qualifies on the 100%+ rule, but treat this one as a spectator sport rather than a trade idea.

System1 [SST] $3.32 (+142.34%)

SST is a digital advertising and customer acquisition platform that exploded on volume, running at an almost incomprehensible 1,447x its average daily pace, which is less a trading session and more a controlled detonation. No major news drove the move, which means this was retail momentum finding a thinly traded name and running with it on the last trading day of a brutal month. The 100%+ rule puts it on the list, but the $13.56 million market cap puts it firmly in handle-with-care territory.

Argan [AGX] $566.00 (+37.91%)

Argan builds natural gas and renewable power plants and crushed quarterly estimates on both revenue and earnings, with its project backlog growing at a pace that surprised even the most optimistic analysts. On a Friday when almost nothing else was going up, a $7.77 billion industrial company posting a double-digit earnings beat and moving 36% is its own kind of statement. Volume ran at 2.5x average, and the Buy rating tells you institutions had been watching this one closely.

urban-gro [UGRO] $17.61 (-37.11%)

Wednesday, it was up 300%. On Thursday, it was down 33%. And on Friday, it dropped another 37%. UGRO has now completed one of the most spectacular three-day round trips this newsletter has covered, going from obscure horticulture firm to retail momentum darling to cautionary tale in 72 hours. There was no fundamental story on the way up, and there is no fundamental story on the way down — just a $13 million market cap stock that got picked up by retail momentum and put back down just as fast.

Zenas BioPharma [ZBIO] $18.41 (-16.94%)

Zenas reported clinical data for its autoimmune disease program that showed efficacy but raised questions about the durability of response at the doses being studied, which in biotech is the kind of nuance the market punishes without patience. At a $1.06 billion market cap with a Strong Buy rating, there was real institutional ownership going into this readout, and the 3.39x relative volume tells you they were not waiting around for a second opinion on the data.

BlackSky Technology [BKSY] $23.40 (-16.84%)

BlackSky operates a satellite imaging constellation for defence and government customers and had been riding the war trade higher for weeks as demand for overhead surveillance of the Middle East theatre surged. Friday's drop came as the broader tech and defence-adjacent selloff hit names across the board, and a stock that has run hard on a geopolitical thesis tends to give back aggressively when the market decides to de-risk heading into a weekend with no resolution in sight.

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That's it for today! Please, write us back, and let us know what you think of the Closing Bell Roundup. We're always eager to hear feedback!

Thanks for reading. I'll see you at the next open! 

Best Regards,
— Adam G.
Elite Trade Club

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