2025 Outlook: Soft Landing or Stormy Skies for US Markets?

Welcome to this month's first market insights note!

Equity markets are likely poised for record turbulence this year, as the US election is approaching and geopolitical tensions have soared in the past few weeks. Selective shopping is likely the best approach in this environment, as the broader market could be due for a pullback.

There are many economic concerns hidden beneath the soft landing narrative, and the combination of these economic risks and new political risks could make equities extremely volatile in the coming months. The macro outlook in 2025 will likely be hazy, as the Fed’s soft landing goal is not guaranteed.

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