The AI boom is still driving markets, but investors are watching the mounting cost of the buildout more closely. Meanwhile, widening shipping risks are lifting oil, Samsung is circling a major European AI investment, and Airbus is backing its growth outlook with a €5 billion buyback.

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Futures at a Glance📈
Futures are pulling back as traders brace for a packed night of Big Tech earnings. Oil is surging on renewed U.S.-Iran tensions, reviving inflation worries even after the recent cooler CPI report. Alphabet, Tesla, IBM, ServiceNow, and Texas Instruments now hold the keys to the next move in tech.


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What to Watch
Earnings (Premarket):
• Philip Morris International Inc. [PM]
• GE Vernova Inc. [GEV]
• AT&T Inc. [T]
• Equinor ASA [EQNR]
Earnings (Aftermarket):
• Alphabet Inc. [GOOG]
• Alphabet Inc. [GOOGL]
• Tesla, Inc. [TSLA]
• Texas Instruments Incorporated [TXN]
• International Business Machines Corporation [IBM]
• ServiceNow, Inc. [NOW]

Elite Trade Club Insider
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Market Pulse
Chipmakers Pull Global Stocks Higher Again
Asian markets extended their rebound as semiconductor shares led gains across the region, building on Wall Street’s recovery ahead of closely watched Big Tech earnings. Oil and the yen remain sources of macro pressure, but bargain-hunting suggests investors are not ready to abandon the AI trade after its recent shakeout.
The Fed May Stay Put, but Rate-Hike Risk Is Growing
Most economists still expect the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged through 2026, according to a Reuters poll, although respondents see a meaningful chance of another hike. Persistent inflation and higher energy costs are making the policy outlook less comfortable even as markets continue to price in economic resilience.

AI & Semiconductors
Big Tech’s AI Bill Starts Squeezing Free Cash Flow
The AI investment boom is putting increasing pressure on the cash generation of the world’s largest technology companies, with spending at some firms growing faster than operating cash flow. The buildout can still produce strong returns, but investors are becoming less willing to treat every new data-center commitment as automatically bullish.
Nvidia’s Supply Chain Adds a $700 Million Texas Factory
Taiwanese supplier Wistron opened a $700 million Texas facility to manufacture advanced AI systems for Nvidia. The plant strengthens Nvidia’s domestic supply chain while showing how AI infrastructure demand is pulling more Taiwanese manufacturing capacity into the United States.

AI Strategy & Robotics
Samsung Weighs a €1 Billion Bet on Mistral
Samsung is reportedly considering an investment of roughly €1 billion in French AI startup Mistral as part of a funding round that could value the company near €20 billion. The potential deal would give Samsung a larger role in Europe’s AI ecosystem while supporting Mistral’s effort to become a credible alternative to U.S. model providers.
Japan Calls Physical AI Its “Last Chance”
Government-backed startup Noetra is developing a foundational AI model for robots as Japan tries to regain technological leadership. Japan already has a strong industrial-robotics base, but Noetra’s challenge is combining that hardware expertise with the advanced models needed to make machines more adaptable and autonomous.

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Energy & Geopolitics
Oil Reaches a Six-Week High as Shipping Risks Multiply
Oil prices climbed toward six-week highs as attacks and blockade threats disrupted several major export routes. Risks are now building across Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea, leaving the market more vulnerable to a supply shock than the headline inventory numbers suggest.
The Refining Recovery Runs Into a War
Escalating Middle East tensions are threatening an expected recovery in global refining activity by restricting crude flows and tightening supplies of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Refineries in the U.S. and Europe are already running hard, leaving China as one of the few markets with enough spare capacity to meaningfully ease the shortage.

Industrials & Consumer
Airbus Targets a Near-Doubling of Profit
Airbus shares jumped after the company launched a €5 billion buyback and outlined plans to nearly double operating profit by 2029. Improving aircraft deliveries and easing supply-chain bottlenecks support the outlook, although engine availability remains a constraint as production accelerates.
Nike Tightens Control of Its China Business
Nike will stop key wholesale partners from selling its products online in China, directing shoppers toward company-controlled storefronts on major e-commerce platforms. The strategy may help restore pricing discipline and brand consistency, but it comes after another steep sales decline as domestic rivals continue taking share.

Trivia: The Dutch East India Company (VOC), founded in 1602, is considered the most valuable company in history. What was its peak estimated market cap in today's dollars?

Movers and Shakers

Super Micro Computer [SMCI]: Premarket Move: +15%
Super Micro surged after the company raised its preliminary fiscal fourth-quarter gross-margin outlook to 15%–17%, nearly double its previous 8.2%–8.4% forecast. More than $60 billion in new orders also pushed its backlog to a record, outweighing revenue expected near the lower end of its prior guidance.
Dell Technologies [DELL]: Premarket Move: +4%
Dell climbed as Super Micro’s update lifted confidence across the AI-server sector. Stronger margins and record orders at a major competitor suggest healthier pricing and sustained demand for the AI infrastructure that Dell also supplies.
Dyne Therapeutics [DYN]: Premarket Move: −10%
Dyne Therapeutics fell after the company priced an offering of 18.3 million shares at $20.50 apiece, raising approximately $375 million before expenses. Underwriters can purchase another 2.745 million shares, adding to the dilution pressure weighing on the clinical-stage biotech.

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Everything Else
🚀 Quiet momentum is starting to build in a handful of small caps, as early signals begin appearing before headlines and broader attention catch up.
💊 Trump’s proposed tariffs on generic drugs are raising concerns that medicine prices could climb while already-fragile supply chains face more pressure.
🚀 Super Micro shares moved after a SpaceX announcement linked the server maker more closely to the expanding space infrastructure market.
👟 Nike is cutting off thousands of online distributors in China as it tightens control over pricing, inventory, and its digital sales strategy.
⚠️ OpenAI said some models went rogue during testing and triggered an unprecedented breach, intensifying scrutiny around AI safety controls.
📱 TikTok’s U.S. security chief will testify before the House in September as lawmakers continue pressing the company over data protection.

That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email.
Best Regards,
— Adam Garcia
Elite Trade Club
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