Three different flavors of momentum today. One is printing results that justify the pop, one just got a cash backstop that changes the entire merger vibe, and one got a fresh price target that basically says the picks-and-shovels trade is still alive. The move is not buying the first spike. It’s picking the cleanest story, waiting for the wobble, and only then stepping in.

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*For standardized returns of the Canary HBR ETF, please visit [HBR ETF - Canary Capital]. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

*The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses should be considered before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information, and it may be obtained at https://canaryetfs.com/HBR/prospectus/. Read it carefully before investing.

*The Fund is not an investment company registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the “1940 Act”) and therefore is not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds or traditional ETFs registered under the 1940 Act.

*Investing Involves Significant Risk. The loss of principal is possible. Canary HBR ETF (the "Fund") may not be suitable for all investors. This document does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy or product for a particular investor. Investors should consult a financial advisor/financial consultant before making any investment decisions.

*The fund is new with a limited operating history. Digital assets, such as HBR, are a relatively new asset class, and the market for digital assets is subject to rapid changes and uncertainty. Digital assets are largely unregulated and digital asset investments may be more susceptible to fraud and manipulation than more regulated investments.

*HBR is subject to unique and substantial risks, including significant price volatility and lack of liquidity, and theft. The value of an investment in the Fund could decline significantly and without warning, including to zero. HBR is subject to rapid price swings, including as a result of actions and statements by influencers and the media, changes in the supply of and demand for digital assets, and other factors. There is no assurance that HBR will maintain its value over the long-term. The Fund is not actively managed and will not take any actions to take advantage, or mitigate the impacts, of volatility in the price of HBR. An investment in the Fund is not a direct investment in HBR. Investors will not have any rights that HBR holders have and will not have the right to receive any redemption proceeds in HBR. Shares of the Fund are generally bought and sold at market price (not NAV) and are not individually redeemed from the Fund. Only Authorized Participants may trade directly with the Fund and only large blocks of Shares called "creation units." Your brokerage commissions will reduce returns.

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Futures at a Glance📈

Futures are bouncing after two down days, led by chip strength following a major semiconductor’s blowout quarter. Tech is back in front early, while banks are still digesting earnings.

The market is still jumpy, though. New chip tariff headlines and China-related chip restrictions are keeping traders cautious, with Iran and Greenland drama adding extra headline whiplash.

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What to Watch

Earnings (Premarket):

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. [TSM]

  • Morgan Stanley [MS]

  • Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [GS]

  • BlackRock, Inc. [BLK]

Earnings (Aftermarket):

  • J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. [JBHT]

  • WaFd, Inc. [WAFD]

Economic Reports:

  • Initial jobless claims (Jan. 10): 8:30 am

  • U.S. import prices (Nov, delayed): 8:30 am

  • Empire State manufacturing survey (Jan): 8:30 am

  • Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey (Jan): 8:30 am

Fed Speakers:

  • Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks: 8:35 am

  • Fed Governor Michael Barr speaks: 9:15 am

  • Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks: 12:40 pm

  • Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid speaks: 1:30 pm

Semiconductors

Taiwan Semiconductor Keeps The Chip Party Rolling

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (NYSE: TSM) just dropped results that basically say the demand line is still pointing up and to the right, and the stock popped like someone yelled free guac in the break room. When the world is buying more AI everything, the company selling the chips under the hood tends to get invited to every table.

The vibe from this quarter is simple: strong growth, strong margins, and a clear signal that the next wave of tech is not waiting for anyone to catch their breath. Investors love that combo because it turns the story from maybe to keep feeding it.

Still, this thing is big, loved, and not cheap. That means the stock can wobble on any hiccup, a cautious outlook line, or a macro mood swing that has nothing to do with chips and everything to do with headlines.

My Take For You: If you are not in, start small on a dip and add only if it holds up after the initial excitement fades. If you are in, let it run, but trim a little on strong pops so you are not riding it with white knuckles.

My Verdict: High-quality leader, but buy it like a grown-up. Small starts, add on confirmation, do not chase the first spike.

Consumer Services

Soho House Finds The Cash, Saves The Date

Soho House & Co Inc (NYSE: SHCO) jumped after it lined up about $200 million in alternative funding to help get its merger across the finish line. Translation: the deal car ran low on gas, someone showed up with a jerrycan, and the market stopped panicking for a minute.

This is the kind of headline that makes traders sit up because it reduces the scary part. If the money is real and the paperwork behaves, you go from will this close to okay, maybe this actually closes. That is why the stock can rip on what sounds like boring financing news.

The catch is this is still a deal story, not a steady story. Until it is finalized, the stock can whip around on every update, delay, or rumor. Think wedding planning: lots of deposits, lots of stress, and someone always wants to change the seating chart.

My Take For You: If you are new, do not chase the jump. Wait for follow-through and clearer closing timelines. If you already own it, consider trimming into strength and keep a tight plan if the deal tone turns sour again.

My Verdict: Trade it. Good upside if closing confidence improves, but keep your position size polite.

The Next Big Silver (Sponsored)

The silver market is heating up, and Eric Sprott is making moves.

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With silver prices climbing past $50/oz., this project has the potential to rewrite the narrative.

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Technology

KLA Corp Gets A Fresh Price Tag, And Bulls Try Not To Spill It

KLA Corp (NASDAQ: KLAC) caught a boost after an analyst jacked up its price target, basically stamping the stock with a higher ceiling and handing momentum traders a new excuse to sprint. When Wall Street raises the number, the chart crowd hears one word: runway.

The easy story is KLA sells the tools that help chipmakers keep quality tight as chips get more complex. You do not need to know the physics to get the business model. When the industry pushes for smaller, faster, smarter, it needs better check-the-work gear, and that puts KLA in the toll booth seat.

But when a stock has already been cruising, upgrades can turn into a short-term sugar rush. If the market mood turns risk-off, even great names get dragged like they are guilty by association.

My Take For You: If you are not in, wait for a calm pullback and then start with a small buy. If you are in, consider taking a little off on strong green days and keep the rest as a longer-term hold if the uptrend stays intact.

My Verdict: Strong story, strong momentum, but respect the price. Buy dips, not hype, and keep your adds disciplined.

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Movers and Shakers

TryHard Holdings Ltd [THH]: Premarket Move: −12%

TryHard just picked up a $25M equity purchase facility, which sounds like free money until you remember how these usually work: more shares can show up like extra guests at a dinner reservation.

The stock’s reacting like it saw the word dilution in bold. This kind of funding can be useful, but it also gives the market a new thing to worry about every time the price tries to bounce.

My Take: Treat this as a headline trap. Wait for it to stop sliding, then only nibble if volume calms and it holds a clear level for a few hours.

Ocular Therapeutix Inc [OCUL]: Premarket Move: +13%

Ocular Therapeutix is ripping because takeover chatter is back, with Sanofi rumored to be circling again. Nothing wakes up a sleepy stock like the words preparing an offer.

But rumor pops can fade fast if the next update is just vibes and no terms. If it opens hot and then stalls, that’s usually the market telling you it already ate the dessert.

My Take: Do not chase the first spike. Let the first 30 to 60 minutes pass, then consider a starter only if it holds the gains and volume stays strong.

Amkor Technology Inc [AMKR]: Premarket Move: +6%

Amkor Technology is green even after a downgrade, which is the market’s way of saying cool story, still buying. This one has been on a heater and traders are treating any dip like a shopping day.

The downgrade angle is simple though: it is run up a lot, and the Arizona buildout could mean cash burn for a while. Great long-term story, but the stock can still do a quick mood swing.

My Take: If you are in, trim a little into strength. If you are not, wait for a pullback and buy the dip only if it bounces cleanly, not while it is still slipping.

Macro Forces Align (Sponsored)

Liquidity is rising as the Fed shifts toward easier monetary policy.

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*Results may not be typical and may vary from person to person. Making money trading digital currencies takes time and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk.

Everything Else

  • Amazon is rolling out more sovereign cloud in Europe, because nothing says trust us like your data staying in your neighborhood.

  • Switzerland just opened a fresh probe into Microsoft’s licensing fees, aka the subscription bill everyone pretends not to see.

  • With Greenland and Iran back in the headlines, traders sprinted to gold and silver like it’s the financial version of buying bottled water before a storm.

  • The Philippines is trying to block access to Grok over child-safety concerns, a reminder that “move fast” still has to meet “be responsible.”

  • Verizon had a messy network outage with thousands of reports, so if your phone felt haunted, it might’ve just been Wednesday.

That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email.

Best Regards,

— Adam Garcia
Elite Trade Club

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