Markets are starting the week caught between resilient earnings and a fresh energy shock. Oil has pushed above $90 as Hormuz traffic slows, while TSMC expands its U.S. investment and healthcare deal-making targets the fast-growing GLP-1 supply chain.
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Futures at a Glance📈
Futures are edging higher as Wall Street looks to recover from a rough week for chips. Semiconductors remain the weak link, but easing oil prices are helping sentiment hold up despite fresh U.S.-Iran fighting around the Strait of Hormuz. Traders are also turning toward a major earnings week led by Alphabet, Tesla, and Intel.
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What to Watch
Earnings (Premarket):
• Ryanair Holdings plc [RYAAY]
• Domino’s Pizza Inc. [DPZ]
Earnings (Aftermarket):
• Steel Dynamics, Inc. [STLD]
• W.R. Berkley Corporation [WRB]
• AGNC Investment Corp. [AGNC]
• Crown Holdings, Inc. [CCK]
• Wintrust Financial Corporation [WTFC]
• Zions Bancorporation N.A. [ZION]
• BOK Financial Corporation [BOKF]
• ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. [SFBS]
Economic Reports:
• Leading Indicators (Jun.): 10:00 am
• Federal Reserve Board of Governors closed meeting: 3:30 pm
Elite Trade Club Insider
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Market Pulse
Oil and Earnings Pull Markets in Opposite Directions
Global shares started the week under pressure as rising oil prices and bond yields collided with a major stretch of technology earnings. Alphabet, Intel, and Tesla now face the difficult job of supporting lofty AI expectations while the Gulf conflict revives inflation and interest-rate concerns.
Regional Banks Point to a Resilient U.S. Economy
U.S. regional lenders reported stronger loan growth and a sharp increase in capital-markets revenue despite concern that geopolitical uncertainty would hold back borrowing. Broad demand across commercial lending, consumer credit, and dealmaking suggests businesses are still investing rather than waiting for perfect economic conditions.
AI & Semiconductors
ASML Starts Chasing Europe’s First Trillion-Dollar Valuation
The AI chip boom has pushed ASML close to a $700 billion valuation, prompting investors to ask whether it could become Europe’s first trillion-dollar company. Its flagship lithography systems are nearly sold out for 2027, but the bull case still depends on hyperscalers maintaining massive data-center budgets.
TSMC Raises Its Arizona Bet to $265 Billion
TSMC expects strong, multiyear AI-chip demand as it expands its planned Arizona investment to $265 billion. The first Arizona fab is producing yields comparable with Taiwan, although worker shortages and infrastructure constraints could determine how quickly the larger buildout comes online.
Energy & Transportation
Oil Breaks Above $90 as Hormuz Traffic Slows
Oil prices jumped around 3% as escalating U.S.-Iran attacks restricted shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. With tanker traffic falling and regional inventories already tight, markets may be underestimating how quickly a prolonged disruption could feed back into inflation and interest rates.
Ryanair Feels the War in Fares and Fuel
Ryanair’s quarterly profit fell by roughly one-third as higher fuel costs and weaker ticket prices hit results. The airline now expects summer fares to remain modestly lower, showing how the Iran conflict is squeezing travel companies from both the cost and demand sides.
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Defense & Aerospace
Lockheed Builds a Cheaper Patriot Interceptor
Lockheed Martin introduced a lower-cost Patriot interceptor designed to counter drones and missiles. The new ACE missile could cost less than half as much as the roughly $4 million PAC-3 MSE, helping militaries stretch air-defense budgets as demand outpaces production.
Boeing’s Air Force One Costs Keep Climbing
Boeing still expects to deliver two new Air Force One aircraft in 2028, but completing the delayed program will require additional spending. Costs have already risen above $5 billion, highlighting the margin risk of complex fixed-price defense contracts even when government demand is strong.
Healthcare & Biotech
India Approves Its First Dengue Vaccine
Takeda’s QDENGA became the first dengue vaccine approved in India, where reported infections have increased sharply over the past two decades. A manufacturing partnership with Biological E is intended to help Takeda reach global capacity of 100 million doses annually by the end of the decade.
Samsung Biologics Makes a $1.8 Billion GLP-1 Supply-Chain Bet
Samsung Biologics launched an all-cash bid for Swiss contract manufacturer PolyPeptide. The acquisition would expand its peptide-production capabilities and give the company more exposure to fast-growing obesity and diabetes treatments, including GLP-1 drugs.
Trivia: Warren Buffett has said he spends the majority of his working day doing one thing. What is it?
Movers and Shakers
Fervo Energy [FRVO]: Premarket Move: +5%
Fervo Energy moved higher after RBC Capital reaffirmed its Buy rating and $46 price target, pointing to continued progress across the geothermal developer’s project pipeline. Its flagship Cape Station project remains on track to begin producing power in the fourth quarter, although investors are still watching execution and construction costs closely.
IMAX [IMAX]: Premarket Move: +4%
IMAX rose after Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey delivered a blockbuster opening weekend, earning an estimated $124.5 million domestically and $264 million worldwide. IMAX generated $51.8 million globally from the release, marking the premium-format company’s strongest worldwide opening weekend on record.
Quhuo [QH]: Premarket Move: −10%
Quhuo fell as investors continued to weigh its depressed valuation against shrinking earnings and extreme share-price volatility. The company has a market value below $10 million, while its profile shows a trailing loss of roughly $22 million and a price target recently cut to $10 from $18.
Hidden Energy Supplies (Sponsored)
Elon Musk’s next energy move may have nothing to do with EVs, rockets, or solar.
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See the three “Dark Energy” stocks tied to Elon’s next energy move.
Everything Else
🚀 EV stocks are drawing renewed attention, as investors look for the companies best positioned to benefit from the sector’s next phase of growth.
✈️ Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg used the Farnborough Airshow to argue the company is regaining momentum as it works through 737 MAX production and quality issues.
🛢️ Oil prices stayed elevated as U.S.-Iran tensions and risks around the Strait of Hormuz kept a sizable supply premium in crude markets.
🏦 HDFC and Axis Bank shares fell as investors reacted to weaker results and growing concern over margins across India’s banking sector.
🏭 U.S. manufacturing output was unchanged in June but still accelerated in the second quarter, offering a mixed read on factory momentum.
🧠 TSMC expects strong multi-year AI chip demand and is ramping up its Arizona investment, reinforcing confidence in the semiconductor cycle.
That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email.
Best Regards,
— Adam Garcia
Elite Trade Club
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