Samsung said earnings would surge 19-fold, and the chip sector fell anyway — the bar for AI semiconductors is that high now. Vertex agreed to buy Crinetics for nearly $9 billion, giving the session at least one clean headline.

Today's edition has the Iran oil trade, the pharma deal, and everything else before tomorrow.

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Samsung’s guidance sent South Korea’s Kospi down nearly 5%, and the selloff spread globally, with Intel falling 11%, Marvell down 9%, ARM off 7%, and Micron losing 7%… the kind of damage that happens when a company beats estimates but misses expectations by about three standard deviations.

SpaceX had the most ironic Nasdaq-100 debut imaginable, falling nearly 7% on the day of its forced inclusion and sliding back toward the $150 IPO opening price despite the forced buying from $800 billion in index ETFs.

The U.S. revoked Iran’s license to sell oil after the Revolutionary Guard fired missiles at ships near Hormuz, sending Brent crude from $72 to $75.75 and reversing the OPEC glut narrative in a single afternoon.

The New York Fed’s consumer survey showed one-year inflation expectations climbed to 3.7%, the highest in nearly three years, adding another point to the rate-hike argument heading into the Fed’s next meeting.

Amazon is looking to raise at least $25 billion through a U.S. bond sale, adding fresh financing behind its AI infrastructure push. The offering includes floating- and fixed-rate notes with maturities ranging from 3 to 40 years.

Big Tech companies are leaning harder on capital markets as AI spending climbs. Amazon said proceeds would support corporate purposes, including future capital expenditures and upcoming debt maturities, while the broader group is expected to spend more than $700 billion on AI this year.

Standard Nuclear is seeking a valuation of up to $3.55 billion in a U.S. IPO, as power demand from AI data centers keeps nuclear-linked names in focus. The company aims to raise $383.25 million by offering 18.25 million shares at $18 to $21 each.

The Oak Ridge, Tennessee company produces advanced nuclear fuel for small modular reactors and microreactors. Proceeds would support working capital, corporate needs, and potential acquisitions or investments, with shares expected to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol STDN.

U.S. Wall Street banks head into earnings with market revenue expected to rise at least 15% year over year, helped by stronger trading, IPO activity, and advisory fees. JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs report July 14, with Morgan Stanley following July 15.

Global investment banking revenue reached $61.4 billion in the first half, up 24% from a year earlier. Big equity offerings and M&A kept fee desks active, while stronger loan growth added another layer of support.

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Rivian shares dropped more than 13% on Tuesday after the company announced a 75-million-share stock offering to raise about $1.5 billion.

The raise came after a recent rally in the EV maker’s stock. Proceeds are expected to support corporate needs, including equity requirements tied to a U.S. Department of Energy loan for Rivian’s Georgia plant.

Ford is recalling 110,626 Mustang vehicles in the U.S. across two separate safety campaigns involving windshield wipers and rear differential pinion shafts.

The larger recall covers Mustang and Mustang GTD vehicles that may have washer and wiper problems in cold conditions. Another recall covers Mustang Mach-E vehicles with a pinion shaft issue that could cause loss of drive power or unintended movement when parked.

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals [CRNX] $83.53 (+98.74%)

Vertex Pharmaceuticals agreed to acquire Crinetics for $8.8 billion at $85 per share in cash, a 102% premium to the prior close.

The deal hands Vertex the marketed acromegaly drug PALSONIFY and Phase 3 candidate atumelnant for congenital adrenal hyperplasia, which the company pegs at over $5 billion in peak sales. Classic acquisition math: target doubles, acquirer barely moves.

ClearOne [CLRO] $13.84 (+97.71%)

ClearOne is still running on last Tuesday’s announcement of its merger with Cortigent — the brain-computer interface and neurostimulation subsidiary of Vivani Medical — with a $10-15 million concurrent financing attached.

The stock has now nearly quadrupled since the deal was disclosed. In a chip selloff session where most of the market is struggling, an audio hardware company pivoting to neural implants is finding a very different audience.

Everbright Digital [EDHL] $4.94 (+24.75%)

Everbright Digital is a Hong Kong commercial services company that keeps appearing on the top movers list on thin float momentum. At $8.4 million in market cap, it moves fast in both directions on a fraction of the volume that would be needed to move a larger name.

The chip-selloff session put fresh momentum money into motion, and EDHL caught some of it.

Securitize [SECZ] $8.06 (-25.99%)

Securitize is a blockchain-based digital securities tokenization platform, and today it’s getting caught in the tech selloff alongside every other growth-stage fintech with a digital assets angle.

The company has real institutional backing, including BlackRock as a strategic partner, but in a session where chip stocks are falling and the macro narrative is shifting hawkish on Iran and inflation, digital securities platforms take the hit first.

American Bitcoin [ABTC] $6.52 (-23.20%)

American Bitcoin, the bitcoin mining and treasury company backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., implemented a reverse stock split today, and shares dropped 22% intraday.

The company has lost more than 70% of its value this year. Co-founder Eric Trump posted positively on social media, which did not reverse the decline.

Z Squared [ZSQR] $8.49 (-22.75%)

Z Squared is a technology services company caught in the tech-wide selloff driven by Samsung’s disappointing guidance.

The company has been running on AI infrastructure momentum through June, and today that trade gave back some of its gains as the market recalibrated how much it’s willing to pay for growth with chip stocks under pressure and inflation expectations rising.

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— Adam G.
Elite Trade Club

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