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Markets
U.S. stocks were mixed today as optimism over trade deals and strong earnings from Alphabet lifted tech stocks, while weak results from IBM dragged the Dow Jones down.
DJIA [-0.70%]
S&P 500 [+0.07%]
Nasdaq [+0.18%]
Russell 2k [-1.31%]

Market-Moving News
Retail
Amazon Faces $5.4B UK Legal Clash That Could Reshape Its Marketplace

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) is now facing a dual legal challenge in the UK, where two newly certified lawsuits could significantly impact how it handles third-party sellers and consumer pricing.
A London tribunal gave the green light for both class actions to proceed, putting up to $5.4 billion in potential damages at risk.
At the heart of the claims is Amazon’s “Buy Box” algorithm, which plaintiffs say systematically favors products using Amazon’s own logistics network.
One case, filed on behalf of over 200,000 sellers, alleges that those not using Amazon’s fulfillment service were unfairly penalized.
The other targets harm millions of consumers who may have overpaid due to the way listings were ranked.
For investors, this case moves beyond fines and enters operational territory.
If courts ultimately agree that Amazon’s algorithm distorts competition, remedies could include restrictions on fulfillment prioritization or broader structural changes to platform visibility.
That would strike at the core of Amazon’s e-commerce architecture, where convenience and scale converge.
Those considering exposure to Amazon should weigh how legal headwinds in major markets could affect its marketplace moat.
While AWS and advertising continue to deliver margin strength, the retail foundation is now being tested in court.
A favorable outcome could clear the deck.
However, a drawn-out legal process or precedent-setting rulings could prompt similar challenges elsewhere, especially in regions already pursuing antitrust investigations.

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Healthcare
Trouble at the Top: DOJ Targets UnitedHealth Over Medicare Billing in Expanding Criminal Probe

UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) has confirmed it is under active investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice, facing both criminal and civil inquiries into its Medicare billing practices.
The company disclosed the news in a securities filing and stated it is cooperating fully with the DOJ.
This marks the second formal government probe into UnitedHealth’s Medicare Advantage operations this year.
The allegations focus on whether UnitedHealth pressured providers to submit inflated diagnostic data to boost payments from the Medicare Advantage program.
In response, the company has initiated an independent third-party review of its internal metrics and billing processes, which it anticipates completing by the end of Q3.
For long-term shareholders, the latest development adds another layer of risk to an already challenging year.
With shares down significantly and regulatory pressure building, UnitedHealth’s dominant position in
Medicare Advantage is being scrutinized in ways that could affect reimbursement models, data use, and executive oversight.
If the DOJ pursues charges or mandates structural reform, it could have a ripple effect throughout the broader managed care industry.
Those evaluating a position at UNH should monitor whether this internal audit uncovers systemic issues and how management communicates the findings in upcoming earnings reports.
The outcome may also influence how regulators approach peer firms using similar billing systems.
UnitedHealth’s scale has long made it the benchmark in private health insurance.
But with DOJ scrutiny intensifying and its leadership under transition, the company is now under pressure to validate its integrity and regain regulatory trust at a critical inflection point.

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AdTech
Two Tech Stocks Generating Massive Returns on Capital While the Market Watches Quietly

Return on invested capital, or ROIC, measures how efficiently a company converts investor capital into profits.
When that number stays high, it often signals durable competitive advantages. Over time, high-ROIC companies tend to outperform the broader market.
Currently, two tech companies are standing out for all the right reasons. AppLovin and Monolithic Power Systems have both delivered ROIC above 50 percent over the last year.
They’re doing something few others can: turning capital into growth at scale.
Investors tracking capital efficiency and earnings leverage should closely monitor both of these stocks as they enter the second half of the year.
AppLovin
AppLovin’s (NASDAQ: APP) stock is up nearly 350 percent over the past 12 months. That kind of run typically invites skepticism, but the company’s fundamentals are backing it up.
Over the last year, AppLovin has delivered a 52 percent ROIC, driven by its core business in mobile game advertising.
The company built its platform with first-hand experience as a mobile game developer.
That inside track helped it design a performance-focused ad network tailored to game publishers.
It’s a niche with fewer players and higher engagement, which supports more substantial returns on spend.
But AppLovin isn’t standing still. Its next big move is into e-commerce advertising, where it’s already claiming a $1 billion annual run rate.
This is a very different vertical, and success isn’t guaranteed. E-commerce brands will only stick around if they see real return on their ad budgets.
That means AppLovin’s e-commerce segment needs to keep delivering results quarter after quarter.
If it does, the company’s growth story and ROIC metrics could hold. If it doesn’t, the stock’s steep climb may leave it vulnerable.
Either way, the setup gives investors a clear line of sight into what matters next.
Monolithic Power Systems
Monolithic Power (NASDAQ: MPWR) isn’t moving like AppLovin, but it’s still one of the most capital-efficient names in semiconductors.
Over the past year, the company delivered a 56 percent ROIC. Shares, however, are down about 10 percent during the same period.
The dip has largely been tied to its relationship with Nvidia.
Monolithic was once the dominant supplier of power chips for Nvidia’s AI servers, but Nvidia has since started diversifying its suppliers.
That shift hit MPWR’s stock, but it hasn’t erased the company’s long-term advantage.
More than two-thirds of Monolithic’s revenue comes from outside the data center market. Industrial and automotive demand has been soft, but signs of a recovery are starting to show.
If those segments bounce back, they could easily offset the Nvidia pullback. Monolithic has consistently outgrown the broader semiconductor sector since 2019.
It’s lean, focused, and continues to expand into high-efficiency power applications across multiple industries.
Both Names Are Built on Real Earnings Power
AppLovin and Monolithic Power don’t rely on hype or multiples to justify their prices. They generate high returns on capital, and they’ve proven they can scale while doing it.
That kind of profile is rewarded in markets that prioritize profit quality.
If their growth stories hold over the next few quarters, both stocks could be strong outperformers, with the numbers to back it up.

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Top Winners and Losers
Liminatus Pharma Inc [LIMN] $8.14 (+25.89%)
Liminatus, a pre-clinical stage biopharma firm, surged after announcing a potential strategic capital raise and plans to explore innovative digital asset financing options.
City Office REIT Inc [CIO] $6.89 (+24.01%)
City Office REIT rallied after agreeing to be acquired by MCME Carell in a $1.1 billion all-cash deal at a 26% premium.
Lendingtree Inc [TREE] $50.34 (+22.63%)
LendingTree popped after releasing strong preliminary Q2 results and raising its full-year 2025 revenue and EBITDA guidance.

Defsec Technologies Inc [DFSC] $4.50 (-41.93%)
Shares fell after the company priced a dilutive public offering of shares and warrants, raising C$6.8 million at a discount to market.
Iridium Comm Inc [IRDM] $25.27 (-22.09%)
Iridium tumbled after slashing its full-year revenue guidance, missing Q2 earnings estimates, and posting lower-than-expected subscriber metrics.
Eagle Bancorp Inc [EGBN] $16.93 (-21.22%)
Eagle Bancorp plunged after posting a massive quarterly loss of $2.30 per share, far below analyst expectations.

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Everything Else
Accelerant kicked off its NYSE debut with a $6.4 billion valuation, as shares climbed out of the gate.
McDonald’s is rolling out a test of CosMc’s-inspired drinks at over 500 locations, tapping into growing demand for specialty beverages.
Strong Alphabet earnings powered the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new record highs, extending Big Tech’s momentum.
Southwest Airlines shares slid after the carrier trimmed its full-year profit outlook, citing cost and demand pressures.
Intel has dodged a shareholder lawsuit tied to its $32 billion stock drop, with a judge ruling in the chipmaker’s favor.
One of the Dow’s components just hit a 52-week low, dragging on the index amid renewed investor caution.
McGraw Hill opened flat in its market debut, landing a $3.25 billion valuation in a muted start for the education giant.

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— Adam G.
Elite Trade Club
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