A big streamer just moved hit pods onto the big screen, turning eyeballs into optionality. Treat it as a catalyst trade, and track three tells: the rev share math, sustained watch-time by week four, and ad CPMs versus music. Just remember there’s no Rogan in the starter pack.
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Futures at a Glance 📈
Wall Street’s catching its breath after yesterday’s whiplash. Futures are green as traders shrug off the latest U.S.–China volley and lean into earnings, with the big banks still setting the tone and transports on deck after the bell. Tech’s perking up, too, nothing like a little calm to coax the AI crowd back out of hiding.
Still, this isn’t all-clear territory. Think of today as the glide path between turbulence pockets, so enjoy the lift, but keep your seat belt fastened.
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What to Watch
Premarket Earnings:
ASML Holding N.V. [ASML]
Bank of America Corporation [BAC]
Morgan Stanley [MS]
Abbott Laboratories [ABT]
Progressive Corporation [PGR]
Prologis, Inc. [PLD]
PNC Financial Services Group [PNC]
Synchrony Financial [SYF]
Citizens Financial Group [CFG]
Aftermarket Earnings:
United Airlines Holdings [UAL]
J.B. Hunt Transport Services [JBHT]
Economic Reports:
Empire State Manufacturing Survey [Oct.]: 8:30 am
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic Speech: 12:10 pm
Fed Governor Stephen Miran Speech: 12:30 pm
Fed Governor Christopher Waller Speech: 1:00 pm
Fed Beige Book: 2:00 pm
Clean Energy
Batteries Not Included, Until They Are With Fluence Energy
Fluence Energy (NASDAQ: FLNC) ripped as the grid-storage theme got a double espresso, fresh bullish chatter on U.S. battery spend, a chunky backlog, and the AI needs power yesterday narrative. That’s rocket fuel for a name that lives at the intersection of utilities, renewables, and data centers trying not to blow fuses.
The good stuff is that there are more megawatts in the pipeline, software plus hardware stickiness, and policy tailwinds that read like a shopping list for Fluence’s sales team. The messy bits are the lumpy projects, supply snags, and profitability that still plays peekaboo. Also, this ticker moves like it’s auditioning for a motocross event, great when it’s green, character-building when it’s not.
If the execution tightens and delays ease, earnings power can finally catch up to the story. Until then, expect hot-and-cold as headlines yank sentiment around.
My Take For You: Let momentum pay you, but don’t overextend on a momentum stock. Starter size into strength only if you’re nimble, and better yet, add on orderly pullbacks toward rising support. If you’re already up big, peel a slice and let a runner ride.
My Verdict: Buy the dips, respect the beta. Great theme, improving setup, just remember grid-scale isn’t a straight line.
Aerospace
Engines Humming, Valuation Drumming For StandardAero
StandardAero (NYSE: SARO) caught a lift after a fresh Buy initiation, and investors are suddenly remembering that keeping jets alive is a pretty good business. Commercial flight hours are up, bizjets aren’t exactly parked, and defense maintenance doesn’t check the macro as often as consumer tech does. That’s a nice tailwind for an MRO heavyweight with scale.
Now the plot twist is the sticker price. This thing isn’t cheap on earnings. You’re paying for consistency, backlog visibility, and cross-cycle resiliency, which works. That’s until growth takes a breather or margins get nicked by parts and labor. Also, MRO ramps can stress working capital, and integration chores don’t do themselves.
Still, the setup makes sense. Engines wear out, inspections are non-negotiable, and fleets are aging into heavier shop visits. If management keeps throughput clean and pricing disciplined, the multiple won’t look quite so nosebleed.
My Take For You: If you’re long, ride the upgrade glow but trail stops, as air pockets happen. If you’re shopping, don’t chase green; fish near the 50-day or prior breakout levels when the hype cools.
My Verdict: Quality hold, add on weakness. Call it expensive for a reason, but demand and scale keep the story airborne.
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Streaming
Podcast Cameos And Popcorn Optional For Spotify
Spotify (NYSE: SPOT) is sneaking its video podcasts onto Netflix, which is basically moving your house party to a bigger venue and letting someone else clean up. Think Bill Simmons, Dave Chang, true crime, no Rogan, for a first wave rolling out stateside in 2026. It’s distribution, not a merger, but it widens the funnel for creators and gives Spotify a way to monetize eyeballs it doesn’t fully own.
The bull pitch is more reach, more ad inventory, more clout when courting talent. If Netflix proves people will binge pods between shows, discovery loops back to Spotify’s app and subs. The bear side is the unknown economics, possible cannibalization, and the uncomfortable truth that SPOT already wears a premium multiple. Platform partnerships look great until rev-share math sobers you up.
Under the hood, this is Spotify leaning into being everywhere while keeping the subscription core steady. It’s clever. That’s as long as creators see real lift and Netflix keeps the carousel spinning.
My Take For You: Trade it like a catalyst, not a coronation. If you’re long from lower, cool, but trail a stop under recent support. If you’re flat, hunt red days or post-news fades but don’t chase gap-y candles.
My Verdict: Accumulate on dips. Fun collab, real optionality, but wait for the fine print before declaring victory.
Poll: What kind of news moves you fastest?
Movers and Shakers
Sable Offshore [SOC]: Premarket Move: −26%
A California judge just swatted down the pipeline restart tied to Santa Ynez, and that’s basically the whole Sable story. Management’s talking tanker workarounds in federal waters, but until permits and logistics line up, this is a single-asset producer with its artery pinched. Sellers didn’t wait for the final hearing; they bolted.
This is what regulatory risk looks like when it hits the P&L instead of a slide deck. Even if tankers fly, costs rise, timing slips, and volumes wobble. The chart is a greased staircase.
My Take: Don’t hero-buy it here, you’re wasting money. If you must, scale tiny after the second day’s low holds and there’s a bona fide update on tanker approvals. Otherwise, wait for court clarity or a capitulation washout you can define risk against.
Bank of America [BAC]: Premarket Move: +4%
Big bank energy. Investment banking woke up, mega-deals flowed, and fees came in hot. When CEOs start buying companies again, the fee machines at the money-center banks hum, and that’s exactly what the print hinted at. The setup into earnings season doesn’t hurt either.
It’s still a bank, so the usual suspects matter. Net interest income, credit costs, and deposit mix. But if M&A stays frothy into year-end, the non-NII tailwind can carry a while
My Take: Buy-the-dip name, not a chase. If it gaps, let the opening pop settle and look for a VWAP reclaim or a red-to-green intraday. Longer term, hold with an eye on NIM trend and charge-offs and trim only if those roll over.
Uber [UBER]: Premarket Move: −1%
Fresh coverage with a Buy and a spicy $140 target says the network effect is still doing laps. Bulls are leaning on delivery re-accel, ads, and the AV narrative to widen the moat. The cap table keeps adding friends, and the product sprawl means more ways to monetize each rider and eater.
Cool your jets, though. AV timelines are a patience test, promotions can nibble margins, and the stock’s had a year. But as long as take rate, Trips, and EBITDA climb, the debate skews when, not if.
My Take: Trade it like a leader. Nibble on weak opens toward rising support, add on closes above prior highs, and keep a stop under last week’s base. For investors, hold through noise and watch take rate, ad attach, and AV pilots for the next leg.
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Everything Else
Chip-gear titan’s latest ASML results say the AI buildout still needs more lasers and litho, even if the cycle occasionally taps the brakes.
Chinese issuers are ghosting Wall Street while Hong Kong IPOs pick up steam, because nothing says de-risk like a shorter flight and fewer congressional hearings.
Yes, you read that right: ChatGPT erotica is reportedly coming, proving AI’s killer app might be without some guardrails.
Japan’s points powerhouse may spin the plastic stateside, with Rakuten IPO chatter hinting your cashback could soon come with an S-1.
Safe-haven crowd just set a new high score as gold record headlines roll in, and silver tags along like the overachieving little sibling.
That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email.
Best Regards,
— Adam Garcia
Elite Trade Club
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