Rare Earth Rager, But Don’t Chase The Rocks

Trade-war fireworks and fresh talk of Washington cozying up to a Greenland mine just sent this rare-earth play into orbit. That’s great for the stock, but remember that tariff headlines fade, government “maybes” can stall, and capex-heavy projects take years. Here’s how to play it.

Wall Street’s catching its breath after a monster relief rally. Futures are down, like the market left the party early but kept the engine running. Tech led yesterday’s comeback after cooler trade-war news, so the chip crowd still has the wheel, just maybe not flooring it this morning.

Cue the next scene: big-bank earnings roll up at the opening bell, and the shutdown saga is still the awkward background character. Expect a lower open, a few headline jolts, and plenty of “buy the dip?” debates. Volatility season is just getting started.

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Domino’s Pizza (NASDAQ: DPZ) served up a clean beat: EPS ahead of expectations, revenue a smidge on top, and same-store sales that actually moved in both the US and abroad.

Promotions did their job (yes, people will cross the street for the best deal ever), innovation kept the menu spicy, and the global store count keeps clicking higher. The algos saw beat and comps up and gave it a premarket nod, because pizza plus operating leverage is the financial equivalent of extra cheese.

Under the hood, US comps north of 5% and positive international comps are the headline, but the more durable story is mix and discipline. Better order counts in delivery and carryout means the flywheel’s working, and margins improved with the oven running hot.

Risks are the promo dependency, food costs behaving like toddlers, and a consumer who occasionally decides to eat at home and judges you for wanting garlic knots.

My Take For You: If you’re long, keep it. If you’re eyeing an entry, chase less and nibble on red days or near the 50-day, this name rewards patience more than hero buys.

My Verdict: Quality compounder in QSR pizza. Core hold, add on dips, and resist tackling a slice mid-air after a gap.

BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) reported the kind of quarter that makes ETF nerds misty. Revenue was up sharply and net inflows that look like someone opened the Niagara valves, over $200B, with iShares, cash, and even digital sleeves contributing.

The twist is net income and EPS stepped back as operating income softened, which is a polite way of saying flows are great, but the margin mix is a work in progress. Still, the flywheel’s spinning with systematic, private markets, and outsourcing, meaning multiple engines are humming while the fee base grows.

The check for the stock is always the same. You don’t buy BLK for next Tuesday, you buy it for more assets, more fees, forever. Macro’s the wildcard with rates, risk appetite, and the AI-everything trade, but scale keeps winning. If banks are today’s opening act, this is the asset-gathering headliner quietly selling out arenas.

My Take For You: Already long? Nice. Hold it and let compounding do its thing. Looking to start? Avoid green-chasing on print day, stalk it on market wobbles or after any great flows, and low margins hangover.

My Verdict: Core long for patient investors. Not a meme rocket, not a value trap, just the world’s biggest vacuum cleaner for assets, and it’s still plugged in.

The market rewards those who act early.

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Critical Metals Corp (NASDAQ: CRML) ripped again premarket as rare earth names stay the instant noodles of this US–China spat, fast to cook, even faster to slurp. After a monster session Monday, the group’s still sprinting on chatter of steeper US tariffs colliding with Beijing’s new export curbs.

When headlines shout supply chain, traders hear squeeze, and anything with magnets in the deck list goes parabolic. CRML’s Greenland Tanbreez story is suddenly the main character, with strategic stamped across it in 72-point font.

Zoom out. This is a geopolitics trade wrapped in a critical-minerals wrapper. The bull case is simple, non-China supply gets repriced when policy turns into a moat. The bear case is these are early-stage projects with capex, permits, and timelines that don’t care about your intraday chart. A government partner could de-risk things, but it won’t pour concrete faster.

My Take For You: If you bought the rumor and now own a rocket, trim a little into strength and let the rest ride with a stop under yesterday’s breakout. If you’re flat, don’t buy a vertical candle, hunt a pullback toward rising support or a red-to-green setup.

My Verdict: Speculative buy on dips only. Great story fuel, but execution, funding, and metallurgy still have to sing in harmony.

The bank beat on adjusted revenue and heads into earnings with the wind at its back. Net interest tailwinds are fading, but fee engines of IB, trading, and asset management are doing more of the heavy lifting. With a near-$850B market cap and a premium multiple for a bank, the bar is never low, yet this is the one name that keeps finding another lever to pull.

Think of it like the varsity team that shows up even on a Tuesday. Not flashy, just clinical. The risk is guidance, as if management talks down the consumer or credit, the room gets chilly fast.

Yesterday’s gap-up on a blitz of target hikes had this one acting like it found a second battery pack. Today it has a little altitude sickness. After a monster run, even good news starts grading on a curve, and mixed analyst chatter plus too far, too fast is a classic recipe for a cool-off.

This is the momentum hangover with a great story, a crowded trade, and a chart that needs a breather before the next leg.

A $1.6B charge tied to the EV pullback is the bill coming due for an aggressive plan meeting a slower reality. The cash chunk stings, the non-cash chunk resets capacity, and the message is clear, fewer moonshots, more math. Ford did this dance last year now it’s GM’s turn to tidy the roadmap.

It’s not doom and gloom, as ICE and hybrids still throw off cash, but the near-term multiple doesn’t expand on recalibration. Execution on margins and capital returns will have to carry the day.

While every headline screams “rate cuts” and “recession fears,” our team’s data shows something else entirely — a hidden market signal forming in Q4 that’s quietly pointing to potential big movers.

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Timing will matter.

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That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email.

Best Regards,

— Adam Garcia
Elite Trade Club

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