A rare earth miner rides a government deal, a cereal maker eyes merger arb gains, a copper giant catches tariff tailwinds, a bank kicks off earnings season, an airline banks on travel demand, and a speculative IPO courts danger. 

Here’s your Elite Trade Club watchlist to tackle this week’s wild moves.

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MP Materials

Ticker: MP | Market Cap: $5.29B | Catalyst: Government Partnership and Momentum

MP Materials soared nearly 50% last week after a DoD deal made it the U.S.’s rare earth magnet champion. With a $400M DoD stake and a $110/kg price floor, MP’s new 10,000-ton magnet factory (launching 2028) counters China’s grip. 

At 20x forward sales, valuation is steep, but tariff relief and defense demand fuel upside. 

Traders should watch for Congressional funding risks or Chinese retaliation, as execution hiccups could stall the rally. 

Still, MP’s strategic pivot point to long-term potential in a critical sector. Don’t chase blindly, but this is a momentum play with legs

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WK Kellogg

Ticker: KLG | Market Cap: $1.54B | Catalyst: Buyout and Merger Arb Opportunity

WK Kellogg jumped 50% in last week’s trading session on Ferrero’s $3.1B buyout at $23/share, closing H2 2025. 

Q2 revenue ($610M-$615M) trails estimates ($650M), with net sales down 6.2% YoY and net income off 45.5%. 

At 1.5x sales, the deal’s premium looks solid, but merger arb traders face risks if regulatory snags or financing issues arise. 

With a lowered full-year outlook (sales down 2%-3%), KLG’s standalone prospects are dim. 

Lock in gains near the deal price or play the arb spread cautiously: delays could pressure shares. 

This is a low-risk, low-upside bet for nimble traders.

Southern Copper

Ticker: SCCO | Market Cap: $85.3B | Catalyst: New Copper Tariff

Southern Copper posted modest gains on the week as Trump’s 50% copper import tariff, effective August 1, sparked a 9% five-day futures rally. 

With the U.S. importing half its copper, SCCO’s domestic production stands to gain, though supply constraints loom. 

Trading at 25x forward earnings, its valuation is rich but justified by commodity price spikes. 

Traders should monitor tariff implementation and global supply shifts, with reversals or foreign competition possibly capping upside. 

SCCO’s scale and copper’s economic bellwether status make it a solid play, but don’t overstay if macro sentiment cools.

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JPMorgan Chase

Ticker: JPM | Market Cap: $811.5B | Catalyst: First Big Bank Reporting Earnings

PMorgan Chase kicks off bank earnings Tuesday, with consensus expecting $4.47 EPS (down from $6) and $44B revenue (off 12%). 

Lower investment banking fees, hit by tariff and geopolitical uncertainty, pressure results, but $94.5B full-year net interest income offers stability. 

At 11x forward earnings, JPM’s scale and 11% U.S. deposit share cushion risks. 

Traders should watch for guidance on dealmaking and consumer spending (weak outlooks could spark a dip). 

With a pristine balance sheet, JPM’s a safe bet, but don’t expect fireworks unless fee recovery surprises. Scalp the volatility cautiously.

United Airlines Holdings

Ticker: UAL | Market Cap: $26.5B | Catalyst: Earnings on Wednesday

United Airlines climbed by double digits last week after Delta’s earnings beat signaled a travel rebound. 

Consensus expects $4.10 EPS and $15.1B revenue for UAL’s Wednesday report, but Delta’s restored full-year guidance and “solid” U.S. economy comments set a high bar. 

At 5x forward earnings, UAL’s cheap, but tariff shocks and fuel costs threaten margins. A strong outlook could reinforce the sector’s turnaround, driving upside. 

Watch for load factor (Delta’s 86%) and guidance clarity. UAL’s a value play with momentum, but hedge against macro risks.

Robot Consulting

Ticker: LAWR | Catalyst: IPO on Friday

Robot Consulting debuts Friday, raising $12.5M at a 37x EV/revenue multiple. That’s wildly high for its $2.3M H1 2024 sales. 

Its Labor Robot tracks employee data, but expansion into legal tech and the metaverse indicates an extreme, SPAC-like hype wave. 

With $1.8M in losses and negative free cash flow, this low-float IPO (5.6%) risks volatility. 

Japan’s $12.6B enterprise software market grows at 12.8%, but LAWR’s distributor reliance and tiny scale invite skepticism. Avoid chasing this frothy debut and wait for a post-IPO dip. 

Regulatory and competitive risks loom large; only speculative traders should touch this.

From a miner’s government-backed surge to a cereal buyout’s arb play, a copper stock’s tariff boost, a bank’s earnings kickoff, an airline’s travel rebound, and a risky IPO’s debut, this week’s Elite Trade Club watchlist packs volatility. Stay sharp and trade smart to capture the action.

That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email.

Best Regards,

— Adam Garcia
Elite Trade Club

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